Oil bubble to burst?
#32
#33
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ORIGINAL: RamItOne
The supply demand is bs. Oil is price inelastic. The theory of supply and demand is that you raise price to reduce demand to equal the amount of your supply. If you have only 10 widgets and at x price you could sell 12 units (but you don't have those extra 2 widgets so raise your price, so at x+1 price you can only sell 10 widgets. This works on price elastic goods, do you really think you consumptin has really been limited due to the prices, sure we may cut back the useless run to the store for a few items, but the bulk of out consumption has stayed the same.
The supply demand is bs. Oil is price inelastic. The theory of supply and demand is that you raise price to reduce demand to equal the amount of your supply. If you have only 10 widgets and at x price you could sell 12 units (but you don't have those extra 2 widgets so raise your price, so at x+1 price you can only sell 10 widgets. This works on price elastic goods, do you really think you consumptin has really been limited due to the prices, sure we may cut back the useless run to the store for a few items, but the bulk of out consumption has stayed the same.
It makes sense that the demand for oil is quite inelastic, since it is a product that has no good substitute for most applications. In my own life I have reduced my consumption slightly in the last few months, but basically I am driving about the same amount even as the price has increased70% in the last year.
#34
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Adding credence to al5608's initial post, here is an article linked on Drudge that talks about reasons for oil prices to subside in the near future: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/mai...2/ccoil122.xml
#35
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Joel_MD I thought it was going to stop at $100. Here is the best analysis that I read up to date. Even if it goes to $70 we'll still be paying over $3.50. Earliest relief will be after the China Olympics.[sm=icon_cheers.gif]
http://www.321energy.com/editorials/maund/maund051408.html
http://www.321energy.com/editorials/maund/maund051408.html